Take with a grain of salt, of course. It is extremely difficult to predict when asset prices will go down. But he could be right. In my opinion, a lot depends on what the Fed actually does. The Fed often Read more…
Many articles that discuss migration within the United State rely on government census data. The census, while meticulous and very detailed, only happens every ten years so is rarely up to date. U-Haul tracks one way rentals of their trucks Read more…
Some automated analysis websites publish expected rental yields if renting on a short term basis. Some buyers look at nightly figures and underestimate vacancies, repairs, and headaches when guessing at annual net rental income. Other buyers think they can buy Read more…
According to Bill McBride, if inventory doesn’t increase in 2022, house prices will continue to increase at a double-digit pace. On the other hand, inventory could increase in 2022. There are several scenarios where it does: If there is a Read more…
It is hard for the Fed to increase interest rates without a risk of causing a recession. An increase in interest rates also puts downward pressure on real estate values as new buyers now qualify for lower monthly payments. It Read more…
I have seen this type of analysis before and it makes perfect sense. Home buyers are more focused on monthly payments than on purchase price. Employees are paid every couple of weeks. They qualify for a mortgage based on their Read more…
Ingo Winzer, of Local Market Monitor, has made some very good real estate predictions in the past. He developed a concept of Income Prices, which proved highly accurate in assessing real estate risk during the last two economic cycles. According Read more…
According to Realtor.com, Spokane is #3 on the list of hottest real estate markets for 2022, after Salt Lake City and Boise, and above Indianapolis, Columbus, Providence, Greenville, Seattle, Worcester, and Tampa. The work-from-home trend is causing people to move Read more…
FinCEN is soliciting public comment on a potential rule to address the vulnerability, in the U.S. real estate market, to money laundering and other illicit activity. Currently, title insurance companies in just 12 metropolitan areas are required to file reports Read more…
Peter Schiff is a financial expert who correctly predicted the 2007 real estate crash. In an August 2006 interview, Schiff said, “The United States is like the Titanic and I am here with the lifeboat trying to get people to Read more…
Jesse Colombo, an economic forecaster who identified a housing and credit bubble in the US prior to the 2008 crash, says a number of new bubbles in markets around the world are set to burst. He said: “I am very Read more…
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand issued its latest financial stability report on Wednesday, which highlighted its concerns about “unsustainable” house prices. It said there was an increased risk of correction in the market. The further house prices rise above Read more…
After the 2007 crash, the US Federal Reserve created a “Exuberance Index” tool as an early bubble identifier. It is meant to help central banks and politicians act on bubbles early to reduce the size of a crash. When central Read more…
This article is from a couple of years ago, but the points raised are particularly valid today. We are seeing government stimulus and spending on a grand scale, coupled with low interest rates and printing of money out of thin Read more…